Straddle / strangle buy or sell indicatorStraddle / strangle buy or sell indicator developed by Chobotaru Brothers.
You need to have basic knowledge in option trading to use this indicator!
The indicator shows P&L lines of the options strategy. Use only for stocks since the mathematical model of options for Future instruments is different from stocks. Plus, the days' representation in futures is also different from stocks (stocks have fewer days than futures ).
***Each strategy in options is based on different mathematical equations, use this indicator only for the strategy in the headline.***
What does the indicator do?
The indicator is based on the Black-Scholes model, which uses partial differential equations to determine the option pricing. Due to options non-linear behavior, it is hard to visualize the option price. The indicator calculates the solutions of the Black-Scholes equation and plots them on the chart so traders can view how the option pricing will behave.
How the indicator does it?
The indicator uses five values (four dominants and one less dominant) to solve the Black-Scholes equation. The values are stock price, the strike price of the option, time to expiration, risk-free interest rate, and implied volatility .
How the indicator help the users?
-View the risks and rewards so you can know the profit targets in advance which means you can compare different options in different strikes.
-View the volatility change impact so you can know the risk and the P&L changes in case of a change in the volatility over the life of the option before you enter the trade.
-View the passage of time impact so you can know where and when you could realize a profit.
-Multi-timeframes so you can stay on the same chart (Daily and below).
All these features are to help the user improve his analysis while trading options.
How to use it?
The user needs to obtain from the “option chain” the following inputs:
-Buy or sell (the strategy)
- Straddle/strangle price bought/sold: enter the price that you bought/sold one options strategy.
-Instrument price when bought/sold: the stock price when you bought/sold the options strategy.
-Upper strike price: the upper strike price of the options strategy.
-Lower strike price: the lower strike price of the options strategy.
-Interest rate: find the risk-free interest rate from the U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY. Example: for 2% interest rate, input: 0.02.
-Days to expire: how many days until the option expires.
-Volatility: the implied volatility of the option bought/sold. Example: for 45% implied volatility , input: 0.45.
-Day of entry: A calendar day of the month that the option bought/sold.
-Month of entry: Calendar month the option bought/sold.
-Year of entry: Calendar year the option bought/sold.
-Risk to reward: Profit/loss line defined by the user. Minimum input (-0.95) ; maximum input (3).
Example: If the strategy was bought, -0.95 means, 95% of the options strategy value is lost (unrealized). If the strategy was bought, 3 means, the risk to reward is 3.
After entering all the inputs, press Ok and you should see “Calculation Complete” on the chart.
The user should not change the entry date and days to expire inputs as time passes after he entered the trade.
How to access the indicator?
Use the link below to obtain access to the indicator
חפש סקריפטים עבור "Implied volatility"
Call Bear Spread indicatorCall bear spread indicator developed by Chobotaru Brothers.
You need to have basic knowledge in option trading to use this indicator!
This spread is a CREDIT SPREAD.
The indicator shows P&L lines of the options strategy. Use only for stocks since the mathematical model of options for Future instruments is different from stocks. Plus, the days' representation in futures is also different from stocks (stocks have fewer days than futures ).
***Each strategy in options is based on different mathematical equations, use this indicator only for the strategy in the headline.***
What does the indicator do?
The indicator is based on the Black-Scholes model, which uses partial differential equations to determine the option pricing. Due to options non-linear behavior, it is hard to visualize the option price. The indicator calculates the solutions of the Black-Scholes equation and plots them on the chart so traders can view how the option pricing will behave.
How the indicator does it?
The indicator uses five values (four dominants and one less dominant) to solve the Black-Scholes equation. The values are stock price, the strike price of the option, time to expiration, risk-free interest rate, and implied volatility .
How the indicator help the users?
-View the risks and rewards so you can know the profit targets in advance which means you can compare different options in different strikes.
-View the volatility change impact so you can know the risk and the P&L changes in case of a change in the volatility over the life of the option before you enter the trade.
-View the passage of time impact so you can know where and when you could realize a profit.
-Multi-timeframes so you can stay on the same chart (Daily and below).
All these features are to help the user improve his analysis while trading options.
How to use it?
The user needs to obtain from the “option chain” the following inputs:
- Call spread price (Credit): The credit received for one unit of options strategy.
-Instrument price when entered spread: the stock price when you enter the options strategy.
-Upper strike price: the upper strike price of the options strategy.
-Lower strike price: the lower strike price of the options strategy.
-Interest rate: find the risk-free interest rate from the U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY. Example: for 2% interest rate, input: 0.02.
-Days to expire: how many days until the option expires.
-Volatility: the implied volatility of the option bought/sold. Example: for 45% implied volatility , input: 0.45.
-Day of entry: A calendar day of the month that the option bought/sold.
-Month of entry: Calendar month the option bought/sold.
-Year of entry: Calendar year the option bought/sold.
-% of Max Profit/Loss: Profit/loss line defined by the user. Minimum input (-0.95) ; maximum input (0.95).
Example: In this spread, -0.95 means, 95% of the options strategy maximum loss is reached and, 0.95 means, 95% of the options strategy maximum profit is reached.
After entering all the inputs, press Ok and you should see “Calculation Complete” on the chart.
The user should not change the entry date and days to expire inputs as time passes after he entered the trade.
How to access the indicator?
Use the link below to obtain access to the indicator
Call bull spread indicatorCall bull spread indicator developed by Chobotaru Brothers.
You need to have basic knowledge in option trading to use this indicator!
This spread is a DEBIT SPREAD.
The indicator shows P&L lines of the options strategy. Use only for stocks since the mathematical model of options for Future instruments is different from stocks. Plus, the days' representation in futures is also different from stocks (stocks have fewer days than futures ).
***Each strategy in options is based on different mathematical equations, use this indicator only for the strategy in the headline.***
What does the indicator do?
The indicator is based on the Black-Scholes model, which uses partial differential equations to determine the option pricing. Due to options non-linear behavior, it is hard to visualize the option price. The indicator calculates the solutions of the Black-Scholes equation and plots them on the chart so traders can view how the option pricing will behave.
How the indicator does it?
The indicator uses five values (four dominants and one less dominant) to solve the Black-Scholes equation. The values are stock price, the strike price of the option, time to expiration, risk-free interest rate, and implied volatility .
How the indicator help the users?
-View the risks and rewards so you can know the profit targets in advance which means you can compare different options in different strikes.
-View the volatility change impact so you can know the risk and the P&L changes in case of a change in the volatility over the life of the option before you enter the trade.
-View the passage of time impact so you can know where and when you could realize a profit.
-Multi-timeframes so you can stay on the same chart (Daily and below).
All these features are to help the user improve his analysis while trading options.
How to use it?
The user needs to obtain from the “option chain” the following inputs:
- Call spread price (Debit): The debit paid for one unit of options strategy.
-Instrument price when entered spread: the stock price when you enter the options strategy.
-Upper strike price: the upper strike price of the options strategy.
-Lower strike price: the lower strike price of the options strategy.
-Interest rate: find the risk-free interest rate from the U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY. Example: for 2% interest rate, input: 0.02.
-Days to expire: how many days until the option expires.
-Volatility: the implied volatility of the option bought/sold. Example: for 45% implied volatility , input: 0.45.
-Day of entry: A calendar day of the month that the option bought/sold.
-Month of entry: Calendar month the option bought/sold.
-Year of entry: Calendar year the option bought/sold.
-% of Max Profit/Loss: Profit/loss line defined by the user. Minimum input (-0.95) ; maximum input (0.95).
Example: In this spread, -0.95 means, 95% of the options strategy maximum loss is reached and, 0.95 means, 95% of the options strategy maximum profit is reached.
After entering all the inputs, press Ok and you should see “Calculation Complete” on the chart.
The user should not change the entry date and days to expire inputs as time passes after he entered the trade.
How to access the indicator?
Use the link below to obtain access to the indicator
Put option buy or sell indicatorPut option indicator developed by Chobotaru Brothers.
You need to have basic knowledge in option trading to use this indicator!
The indicator shows P&L lines of the options strategy. Use only for stocks since the mathematical model of options for Future instruments is different from stocks. Plus, the days' representation in futures is also different from stocks (stocks have fewer days than futures ).
***Each strategy in options is based on different mathematical equations, use this indicator only for the strategy in the headline.***
What does the indicator do?
The indicator is based on the Black-Scholes model, which uses partial differential equations to determine the option pricing. Due to options non-linear behavior, it is hard to visualize the option price. The indicator calculates the solutions of the Black-Scholes equation and plots them on the chart so traders can view how the option pricing will behave.
How the indicator does it?
The indicator uses five values (four dominants and one less dominant) to solve the Black-Scholes equation. The values are stock price, the strike price of the option, time to expiration, risk-free interest rate, and implied volatility .
How the indicator help the users?
-View the risks and rewards so you can know the profit targets in advance which means you can compare different options in different strikes.
-View the volatility change impact so you can know the risk and the P&L changes in case of a change in the volatility over the life of the option before you enter the trade.
-View the passage of time impact so you can know where and when you could realize a profit.
-Multi-timeframes so you can stay on the same chart (Daily and below).
All these features are to help the user improve his analysis while trading options.
How to use it?
The user needs to obtain from the “option chain” the following inputs:
-Buy or sell (the strategy)
-The option price bought: at what price did you bought/sold one option.
-Instrument price when bought: the stock price when you bought/sold the option.
-Strike price: the strike price of the option.
-Interest rate: find the risk-free interest rate from the U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY. Example: for 2% interest rate, input: 0.02.
-Days to expire: how many days until the option expires.
-Volatility: the implied volatility of the option bought/sold. Example: for 45% implied volatility , input: 0.45.
-Day of entry: A calendar day of the month that the option bought/sold.
-Month of entry: Calendar month the option bought/sold.
-Year of entry: Calendar year the option bought/sold.
-Risk to reward: Profit/loss line defined by the user. Minimum input (-0.95) ; maximum input (3).
Example: If an option was bought, -0.95 means, 95% of the option value is lost (unrealized). If an option was bought, 3 means, the risk to reward is 3.
After entering all the inputs, press Ok and you should see “Calculation Complete” on the chart.
The user should not change the entry date and days to expire inputs as time passes after he entered the trade.
How to access the indicator?
Use the link below to obtain access to the indicator
Call option buy or sell indicatorCall option indicator developed by Chobotaru Brothers.
You need to have basic knowledge in option trading to use this indicator!
The indicator shows P&L lines of the options strategy. Use only for stocks since the mathematical model of options for Future instruments is different from stocks. Plus, the days' representation in futures is also different from stocks (stocks have fewer days than futures ).
***Each strategy in options is based on different mathematical equations, use this indicator only for the strategy in the headline.***
What does the indicator do?
The indicator is based on the Black-Scholes model, which uses partial differential equations to determine the option pricing. Due to options non-linear behavior, it is hard to visualize the option price. The indicator calculates the solutions of the Black-Scholes equation and plots them on the chart so traders can view how the option pricing will behave.
How the indicator does it?
The indicator uses five values (four dominants and one less dominant) to solve the Black-Scholes equation. The values are stock price, the strike price of the option, time to expiration, risk-free interest rate, and implied volatility .
How the indicator help the users?
-View the risks and rewards so you can know the profit targets in advance which means you can compare different options in different strikes.
-View the volatility change impact so you can know the risk and the P&L changes in case of a change in the volatility over the life of the option before you enter the trade.
-View the passage of time impact so you can know where and when you could realize a profit.
-Multi-timeframes so you can stay on the same chart (Daily and below).
All these features are to help the user improve his analysis while trading options.
How to use it?
The user needs to obtain from the “option chain” the following inputs:
-Buy or sell (the strategy)
-The option price bought: at what price did you bought/sold one option.
-Instrument price when bought: the stock price when you bought/sold the option.
-Strike price: the strike price of the option.
-Interest rate: find the risk-free interest rate from the U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY. Example: for 2% interest rate, input: 0.02.
-Days to expire: how many days until the option expires.
-Volatility: the implied volatility of the option bought/sold. Example: for 45% implied volatility , input: 0.45.
-Day of entry: A calendar day of the month that the option bought/sold.
-Month of entry: Calendar month the option bought/sold.
-Year of entry: Calendar year the option bought/sold.
-Risk to reward: Profit/loss line defined by the user. Minimum input (-0.95) ; maximum input (3).
Example: If an option was bought, -0.95 means, 95% of the option value is lost (unrealized). If an option was bought, 3 means, the risk to reward is 3.
After entering all the inputs, press Ok and you should see “Calculation Complete” on the chart.
The user should not change the entry date and days to expire inputs as time passes after he entered the trade.
How to access the indicator?
Use the link below to obtain access to the indicator
NSE BSE Option Chain with Greeks [Bluechip Algos]This indicator provides option chain information along with greeks of Delta, Vega, Theta, Gamma and Rho.
Make sure inputs are correctly entered; Symbol, reference spot price of ATM, Expiry date and Distance between strikes
Here’s a brief explanation of the logic used for calculating the Greeks in your Pine Script:
Implied Volatility (IV):
Implied Volatility is found using Black-Scholes formula by comparing the market price of the option to its theoretical price. An iterative process is used to adjust the volatility value until the theoretical price matches the market price, effectively reversing the pricing model to deduce the market’s expectation of volatility.
Delta:
Delta is calculated by estimating the probability of the option expiring in the money. This probability is derived using statistical methods based on price movement expectations. It is computed using the cumulative normal distribution function normDist
Gamma:
Gamma is calculated by evaluating how Delta changes when the underlying price moves slightly, giving a sense of the stability of Delta across different price levels. It is computed based on the derivative of Delta concerning the spot price
Theta:
Theta calculates the time decay of an option's value. It estimates how much the option's price will reduce as it gets closer to expiry, assuming all other factors remain constant. For this, the time left to expiry is broken into daily increments to assess the decay rate.
Vega:
Vega is determined by analyzing how the option's price would react to changes in market volatility. It uses the relationship between volatility and option pricing to measure this sensitivity, helping traders understand the impact of fluctuating volatility levels.
Rho:
Rho is calculated by estimating how much the option's price would change for a small increase in the risk-free interest rate. The calculation involves using Black-Scholes to assess how interest rate changes alter the discounted value of the option's payoff.
All computations depend on parameters like the spot price S, strike price X, time to expiry t, risk-free rate r, and volatility σ.
Black-Scholes Model CalculatorOverview
The Black-Scholes Model Calculator TradingView Indicator is an advanced tool designed for options traders to calculate key Greek values, including Theta, Gamma, Delta, Rho, and Vega. By integrating this indicator into your TradingView charts, you can perform sophisticated options analysis, enhance your understanding of options pricing, and make more informed trading decisions.
Key Features
1. Comprehensive Greeks Calculation:
Theta : Measure the sensitivity of the option's price to the passage of time, helping you understand time decay.
Gamma : Determine the rate of change of Delta, providing insights into how Delta will change as the underlying asset price moves.
Delta : Calculate the sensitivity of the option's price to changes in the price of the underlying asset.
Rho : Evaluate the sensitivity of the option's price to changes in interest rates.
Vega : Assess the sensitivity of the option's price to changes in implied volatility.
2. User Input Parameters :
Strike Price : Enter the strike price of the option to tailor the calculations to your specific option.
Days Remaining : Input the number of days remaining until the option's expiration, providing accurate time-based calculations.
Implied Volatility (IV) : Specify the implied volatility for both call and put options to reflect market expectations.
3. Visual and Analytical Insights :
Display the calculated Greek values directly on your TradingView chart for quick reference and analysis.
Clear and intuitive presentation of the data, making it easy to interpret and apply to your trading strategy.
How to Use
1. Insert Strike Price : Start by entering the strike price of the option you are analyzing. This is essential for calculating the Greeks accurately.
2. Days Remaining : Input the number of days left until the option's expiration. This factor is crucial for determining Theta and other time-sensitive Greeks.
3. Implied Volatility (IV) : Provide the implied volatility values for both call and put options. This input is vital for calculating Vega and assessing how changes in volatility affect option prices.
Benefits
Enhanced Options Trading : Gain a deeper understanding of how different factors affect option pricing by using the calculated Greeks.
Strategic Planning : Utilize the Greek values to formulate and adjust your options trading strategies based on time decay, price movements, interest rate changes, and volatility shifts.
Risk Management : Improve your risk management by understanding the potential changes in option prices and adjusting your positions accordingly.
Practical Application
1. Theta Management : Monitor Theta to understand how time decay is impacting your option positions, especially for short-term trades.
2. Gamma and Delta Adjustments : Use Gamma and Delta to hedge your positions and manage the risk associated with price movements in the underlying asset.
3. Rho Considerations : Evaluate Rho to factor in interest rate changes, which can be particularly useful in long-term options trading.
4. Vega Analysis : Analyze Vega to assess the impact of volatility changes and adjust your strategies in volatile market conditions.
Conclusion
The Black-Scholes Model Calculator TradingView Indicator is an indispensable tool for any serious options trader. By providing precise calculations of Theta, Gamma, Delta, Rho, and Vega, it empowers you to make more informed trading decisions, manage risks effectively, and optimize your options trading strategies. Integrate this indicator into your TradingView setup to take your options trading to the next level.
historical volatility by flashThe script is made to help to determine OPTIONS volatility.
The Script is showing the Historical volatility of any stock for its last 1 year data.
Historical volatility is important to know how stock can perform in panic days.
Historical volatility is best used with Implied volatility.
How to Interpret the Script or How to use it?
The Script show 5 parts the lowermost is lowest HV in last year & the highest part shows highest volatility in the past 1 year.
Use this on a DAILY CHART only.
Now Take the IV (implied volatility of stock) and put that figure in between the HV and check in which part current IV resides. based on that you can determine how OPTIONS premium or how much it INFLATED or DEFLATED .
Ichimoku Z-Score Stochastic Oscillator with Kumo Depth Analysis---
Ichimoku Z-Score Stochastic Oscillator with Kumo Depth Analysis
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Script Overview
Welcome to the Advanced Ichimoku Z-Score Stochastic Oscillator with Kumo Depth Analysis. This unique strategy is designed to provide a comprehensive, multi-timeframe trading view by leveraging the Ichimoku Cloud, Z-Score, Stochastic Oscillator, and an innovative implied volatility measure – the Kumo Depth. By integrating these powerful tools into one script, traders can make more informed decisions by considering trend strength, volatility, and volume in one holistic view.
Rationale & Strategy
The script was created with the rationale that trading decisions should not only be based on price action and volume, but also on market trend strength and implied volatility. The script integrates these various elements:
The Ichimoku Cloud, a versatile indicator that provides support and resistance levels, trend direction, and momentum all at once.
The Z-Score, a statistical measurement of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values.
The Stochastic Oscillator, a momentum indicator that uses support and resistance levels to determine probable trend reversals.
The Kumo Depth Analysis, an innovative measure of implied volatility and market trend strength derived from the thickness of the Ichimoku Cloud.
How It Works
This script works by providing visual buy and sell signals based on the confluence of the aforementioned tools.
Ichimoku Cloud and Z-Score: The script first calculates the Ichimoku Cloud lines for both a higher and lower timeframe and measures how much current prices deviate from the cloud using Z-Score.
Stochastic Oscillator: This Z-Score is then inputted into a Stochastic Oscillator, thus giving the oscillator a more normalized range.
Kumo Depth Analysis: Simultaneously, the thickness of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) is calculated as an implied volatility indicator. This depth is normalized and used as a filter to ensure we are trading in a market with substantial trend strength.
Signals: Buy and sell signals are triggered based on the crossover and crossunder of the Stochastic Oscillator lines. Signals are then filtered based on their location relative to the Ichimoku Cloud (price should be above the cloud for buy signals and below for sell signals) and the normalized Kumo Depth.
How to Use
Signal Types: The script provides both strong and weak signals. Strong signals are accompanied by high volume, while weak signals are not. Strong buy signals are indicated with a green triangle at the top, strong sell signals with a red triangle at the bottom. Weak signals are shown as blue and yellow circles, respectively.
Trend Strength: The trend strength is shown by the normalized Kumo Depth. The greater the Kumo Depth, the stronger the trend.
Timeframes: You can customize the timeframes used for the calculations in the input settings.
Adjustments: Users can adjust parameters such as the Ichimoku settings, Stochastic Oscillator settings, timeframes, and Kumo Depth settings to suit their trading style and the characteristics of the asset they are trading.
This script is a complete trading strategy tool providing multi-timeframe, trend-following, and volume-based signals. It's best suited for traders who understand the concepts of trend trading, stochastic oscillators, and volatility measures and want to incorporate them all into one powerful, comprehensive trading strategy.
Implied and Historical Volatility v4There is a famous option strategy📊 played on volatility📈. Where people go short on volatility, generally, this strategy is used before any significant event or earnings release. The basic phenomenon is that the Implied Volatility shoots up before the event and drops after the event, while the volatility of the security does not increase in most of the scenarios. 💹
I have tried to create an Indicator using which you
can analyse the historical change in Implied Volatility Vs Historic Volatility.
To get a basic idea of how the security moved during different events.
Notes:
a) Implied Volatility is calculated using the bisection method and Black 76 model option pricing model.
b) For the risk-free rate I have fetched the price of the “10-Year Indian Government Bond” price and calculated its yield to be used as our Risk-Free rate.
Cash VIX Term StructureLet’s first start with some definitions:
VIX9D: The CBOE S&P 500 9-Day Volatility Index estimates the expected 9-day volatility of S&P 500® stock returns.
www.cboe.com
VIX: The CBOE Volatility Index® (VIX® ) is considered by many to be the world's premier barometer of equity market volatility. The VIX Index is based on real-time prices of options on the S&P 500® Index (SPX) and is designed to reflect investors' consensus view of future (30-day) expected stock market volatility. The VIX Index is often referred to as the market's "fear gauge".
www.cboe.com
VIX3M: The CBOE 3-Month Volatility Index is designed to be a constant measure of 3-month implied volatility of the S&P 500® (SPX) Index options.
www.cboe.com
VIX6M: The CBOE S&P 500 6-Month Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 6-month volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
VIX1Y: The CBOE S&P 500 1-Year Volatility Index is an estimate of the expected 1-Yeaer volatility of the S&P 500® Index.
www.cboe.com
This indicator visually displays the relationship between all the above products (short term vol vs long term vol). It also displays the current value and daily percentage change.
The shape of the term structure can tell us a lot about the market:
When the slope of the term structure is upward sloping (longer term VIX are higher than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in contango. This usually means that market is stable.
When the slope of the term structure is downward sloping (longer term VIX are lower than shorter term VIX), we say the term structure is in backwardation. This usually happens in periods of extreme market volatility.
Sometimes VIX9D will be higher than VIX but the rest of the curve is in contango. This means that there might be some event in the next 9 days that we need to pay attention to.
I also added a few ratios that I personally track like VIX9D/VIX, VIX/VIX3M and VIX/VIX6M.
When trading short term, I tend to focus on the front end of the curve. When trading long term, I tend to look at VIX/VIX6M.
In addition to the ratios, I added some historical parameters (lookback date can be set from the indicator’s settings) like Highest Value, Lowest Value, Percentile Rank, Average, Median and Mode.
Percentile ranks are displayed for both individual products and their ratios (that’s how I like to see them).
I hope you guys like this indicator.
Happy trading!
Volatility IndicatorThe volatility indicator presented here is based on multiple volatility indices that reflect the market’s expectation of future price fluctuations across different asset classes, including equities, commodities, and currencies. These indices serve as valuable tools for traders and analysts seeking to anticipate potential market movements, as volatility is a key factor influencing asset prices and market dynamics (Bollerslev, 1986).
Volatility, defined as the magnitude of price changes, is often regarded as a measure of market uncertainty or risk. Financial markets exhibit periods of heightened volatility that may precede significant price movements, whether upward or downward (Christoffersen, 1998). The indicator presented in this script tracks several key volatility indices, including the VIX (S&P 500), GVZ (Gold), OVX (Crude Oil), and others, to help identify periods of increased uncertainty that could signal potential market turning points.
Volatility Indices and Their Relevance
Volatility indices like the VIX are considered “fear gauges” as they reflect the market’s expectation of future volatility derived from the pricing of options. A rising VIX typically signals increasing investor uncertainty and fear, which often precedes market corrections or significant price movements. In contrast, a falling VIX may suggest complacency or confidence in continued market stability (Whaley, 2000).
The other volatility indices incorporated in the indicator script, such as the GVZ (Gold Volatility Index) and OVX (Oil Volatility Index), capture the market’s perception of volatility in specific asset classes. For instance, GVZ reflects market expectations for volatility in the gold market, which can be influenced by factors such as geopolitical instability, inflation expectations, and changes in investor sentiment toward safe-haven assets. Similarly, OVX tracks the implied volatility of crude oil options, which is a crucial factor for predicting price movements in energy markets, often driven by geopolitical events, OPEC decisions, and supply-demand imbalances (Pindyck, 2004).
Using the Indicator to Identify Market Movements
The volatility indicator alerts traders when specific volatility indices exceed a defined threshold, which may signal a change in market sentiment or an upcoming price movement. These thresholds, set by the user, are typically based on historical levels of volatility that have preceded significant market changes. When a volatility index exceeds this threshold, it suggests that market participants expect greater uncertainty, which often correlates with increased price volatility and the possibility of a trend reversal.
For example, if the VIX exceeds a pre-determined level (e.g., 30), it could indicate that investors are anticipating heightened volatility in the equity markets, potentially signaling a downturn or correction in the broader market. On the other hand, if the OVX rises significantly, it could point to an upcoming sharp movement in crude oil prices, driven by changing market expectations about supply, demand, or geopolitical risks (Geman, 2005).
Practical Application
To effectively use this volatility indicator in market analysis, traders should monitor the alert signals generated when any of the volatility indices surpass their thresholds. This can be used to identify periods of market uncertainty or potential market turning points across different sectors, including equities, commodities, and currencies. The indicator can help traders prepare for increased price movements, adjust their risk management strategies, or even take advantage of anticipated price swings through options trading or volatility-based strategies (Black & Scholes, 1973).
Traders may also use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to validate the potential for significant market movements. For example, if the VIX exceeds its threshold and the market is simultaneously approaching a critical technical support or resistance level, the trader might consider entering a position that capitalizes on the anticipated price breakout or reversal.
Conclusion
This volatility indicator is a robust tool for identifying market conditions that are conducive to significant price movements. By tracking the behavior of key volatility indices, traders can gain insights into the market’s expectations of future price fluctuations, enabling them to make more informed decisions regarding market entries and exits. Understanding and monitoring volatility can be particularly valuable during times of heightened uncertainty, as changes in volatility often precede substantial shifts in market direction (French et al., 1987).
References
• Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327.
• Christoffersen, P. F. (1998). Evaluating Interval Forecasts. International Economic Review, 39(4), 841-862.
• Whaley, R. E. (2000). Derivatives on Market Volatility. Journal of Derivatives, 7(4), 71-82.
• Pindyck, R. S. (2004). Volatility and the Pricing of Commodity Derivatives. Journal of Futures Markets, 24(11), 973-987.
• Geman, H. (2005). Commodities and Commodity Derivatives: Modeling and Pricing for Agriculturals, Metals and Energy. John Wiley & Sons.
• Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities. Journal of Political Economy, 81(3), 637-654.
• French, K. R., Schwert, G. W., & Stambaugh, R. F. (1987). Expected Stock Returns and Volatility. Journal of Financial Economics, 19(1), 3-29.
Bull / Bear Market RegimeBull / Bear Market Regime
Instructions:
- A simple risk on or risk off indicator based on CBOE's Implied Correlation and VIX to highlight and indicate Bull / Bear Markets. To be used with the S&P500 index as that's the source from where the CBOE calculates and measures implied volatility & implied correlation. Can also be used with the other indices such as: Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq, & Nasdaq100, & Index ETF's such as DIA, SPY, QQQ, etc.
- Know the active regime, see the larger picture using the Daily or Weekly view, and visualize the current "Risk On (Bull) or Risk Off (Bear)" environment.
Description:
- Risk On and Risk Off simplified & visualized. Know if we are in a RISK ON or RISK OFF environment (Bull or Bear Market). (Absolute bottoms and tops will occur BEFORE a Risk On (Bull Market) or Risk Off (Bear Market) environment is confirmed!) This indicator is not meant to bottom tick or uptick market price action, but to show the active regime.
- Green: Bull Market, Risk On, low volatility, and low risk.
- Red: Bear Market, Risk Off, high volatility, and higher risk.
Buy & Sell Indicators (DAILY time frame)
- Nothing is 100% guaranteed! Can be used for short to medium term trades at the users discretion in BEAR MARKETS!!
- These signals are meant to be used during a RISK OFF / BEAR MARKET environment that tends to be accompanied with high volatility. A Risk on / Bull Market environment tends to have low volatility and endless rallies, so the signals will differ and in most instances not apply for Bull market / Risk on regime.
- The SELL signal will more often than not signal that a pullback is near in a BULL market and that a BMR-Bear Market Rally is almost over in a BEAR market.
- The BUY signal will have far more accuracy in a BEAR market-high volatility environment and can Identify short-term and major bottoms.
Always use proper sizing and risk management!
ATR Future Movement Range Projection
The "ATR Future Movement Range Projection" is a custom TradingView Pine Script indicator designed to forecast potential price ranges for a stock (or any asset) over short-term (1-month) and medium-term (3-month) horizons. It leverages the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of volatility to estimate how far the price might move, while incorporating recent momentum bias based on the proportion of bullish (green) vs. bearish (red) candles. This creates asymmetric projections: in bullish periods, the upside range is larger than the downside, and vice versa.
The indicator is overlaid on the chart, plotting horizontal lines for the projected high and low prices for both timeframes. Additionally, it displays a small table in the top-right corner summarizing the projected prices and the percentage change required from the current close to reach them. This makes it useful for traders assessing potential targets, risk-reward ratios, or option strategies, as it combines volatility forecasting with directional sentiment.
Key features:
- **Volatility Basis**: Uses weekly ATR to derive a stable daily volatility estimate, avoiding noise from shorter timeframes.
- **Momentum Adjustment**: Analyzes recent candle colors to tilt projections toward the prevailing trend (e.g., more upside if more green candles).
- **Time Horizons**: Fixed at 1 month (21 trading days) and 3 months (63 trading days), assuming ~21 trading days per month (excluding weekends/holidays).
- **User Adjustable**: The ATR length/lookback (default 50) can be tweaked via inputs.
- **Visuals**: Green/lime lines for highs, red/orange for lows; a semi-transparent table for quick reference.
- **Limitations**: This is a probabilistic projection based on historical volatility and momentum—it doesn't predict direction with certainty and assumes volatility persists. It ignores external factors like news, earnings, or market regimes. Best used on daily charts for stocks/ETFs.
The indicator doesn't generate buy/sell signals but helps visualize "expected" ranges, similar to how implied volatility informs option pricing.
### How It Works Step-by-Step
The script executes on each bar update (typically daily timeframe) and follows this logic:
1. **Input Configuration**:
- ATR Length (Lookback): Default 50 bars. This controls both the ATR calculation period and the candle count window. You can adjust it in the indicator settings.
2. **Calculate Weekly ATR**:
- Fetches the ATR from the weekly timeframe using `request.security` with a length of 50 weeks.
- ATR measures average price range (high-low, adjusted for gaps), representing volatility.
3. **Derive Daily ATR**:
- Divides the weekly ATR by 5 (approximating 5 trading days per week) to get an equivalent daily volatility estimate.
- Example: If weekly ATR is $5, daily ATR ≈ $1.
4. **Define Projection Periods**:
- 1 Month: 21 trading days.
- 3 Months: 63 trading days (21 × 3).
- These are hardcoded but based on standard trading calendar assumptions.
5. **Compute Base Projections**:
- Base projection = Daily ATR × Days in period.
- This gives the total expected movement (range) without direction: e.g., for 3 months, $1 daily ATR × 63 = $63 total range.
6. **Analyze Candle Momentum (Win Rate)**:
- Counts green candles (close > open) and red candles (close < open) over the last 50 bars (ignores dojis where close == open).
- Total colored candles = green + red.
- Win rate = green / total colored (as a fraction, e.g., 0.7 for 70%). Defaults to 0.5 if no colored candles.
- This acts as a simple momentum proxy: higher win rate implies bullish bias.
7. **Adjust Projections Asymmetrically**:
- Upside projection = Base projection × Win rate.
- Downside projection = Base projection × (1 - Win rate).
- This skews the range: e.g., 70% win rate means 70% of the total range allocated to upside, 30% to downside.
8. **Calculate Projected Prices**:
- High = Current close + Upside projection.
- Low = Current close - Downside projection.
- Done separately for 1M and 3M.
9. **Plot Lines**:
- 3M High: Solid green line.
- 3M Low: Solid red line.
- 1M High: Dashed lime line.
- 1M Low: Dashed orange line.
- Lines extend horizontally from the current bar onward.
10. **Display Table**:
- A 3-column table (Projection, Price, % Change) in the top-right.
- Rows for 1M High/Low and 3M High/Low, color-coded.
- % Change = ((Projected price - Close) / Close) × 100.
- Updates dynamically with new data.
The entire process repeats on each new bar, so projections evolve as volatility and momentum change.
### Examples
Here are two hypothetical examples using the indicator on a daily chart. Assume it's applied to a stock like AAPL, but with made-up data for illustration. (In TradingView, you'd add the script to see real outputs.)
#### Example 1: Bullish Scenario (High Win Rate)
- Current Close: $150.
- Weekly ATR (50 periods): $10 → Daily ATR: $10 / 5 = $2.
- Last 50 Candles: 35 green, 15 red → Total colored: 50 → Win Rate: 35/50 = 0.7 (70%).
- Base Projections:
- 1M: $2 × 21 = $42.
- 3M: $2 × 63 = $126.
- Adjusted Projections:
- 1M Upside: $42 × 0.7 = $29.4 → High: $150 + $29.4 = $179.4 (+19.6%).
- 1M Downside: $42 × 0.3 = $12.6 → Low: $150 - $12.6 = $137.4 (-8.4%).
- 3M Upside: $126 × 0.7 = $88.2 → High: $150 + $88.2 = $238.2 (+58.8%).
- 3M Downside: $126 × 0.3 = $37.8 → Low: $150 - $37.8 = $112.2 (-25.2%).
- On the Chart: Green/lime lines skewed higher; table shows bullish % changes (e.g., +58.8% for 3M high).
- Interpretation: Suggests stronger potential upside due to recent bullish momentum; useful for call options or long positions.
#### Example 2: Bearish Scenario (Low Win Rate)
- Current Close: $50.
- Weekly ATR (50 periods): $3 → Daily ATR: $3 / 5 = $0.6.
- Last 50 Candles: 20 green, 30 red → Total colored: 50 → Win Rate: 20/50 = 0.4 (40%).
- Base Projections:
- 1M: $0.6 × 21 = $12.6.
- 3M: $0.6 × 63 = $37.8.
- Adjusted Projections:
- 1M Upside: $12.6 × 0.4 = $5.04 → High: $50 + $5.04 = $55.04 (+10.1%).
- 1M Downside: $12.6 × 0.6 = $7.56 → Low: $50 - $7.56 = $42.44 (-15.1%).
- 3M Upside: $37.8 × 0.4 = $15.12 → High: $50 + $15.12 = $65.12 (+30.2%).
- 3M Downside: $37.8 × 0.6 = $22.68 → Low: $50 - $22.68 = $27.32 (-45.4%).
- On the Chart: Red/orange lines skewed lower; table highlights larger downside % (e.g., -45.4% for 3M low).
- Interpretation: Indicates bearish risk; might prompt protective puts or short strategies.
#### Example 3: Neutral Scenario (Balanced Win Rate)
- Current Close: $100.
- Weekly ATR: $5 → Daily ATR: $1.
- Last 50 Candles: 25 green, 25 red → Win Rate: 0.5 (50%).
- Projections become symmetric:
- 1M: Base $21 → Upside/Downside $10.5 each → High $110.5 (+10.5%), Low $89.5 (-10.5%).
- 3M: Base $63 → Upside/Downside $31.5 each → High $131.5 (+31.5%), Low $68.5 (-31.5%).
- Interpretation: Pure volatility-based range, no directional bias—ideal for straddle options or range trading.
In real use, test on historical data: e.g., if past projections captured actual moves ~68% of the time (1 standard deviation for ATR), it validates the volatility assumption. Adjust the lookback for different assets (shorter for volatile cryptos, longer for stable blue-chips).
IV Rank Oscillator by dinvestorqShort Title: IVR OscSlg
Description:
The IV Rank Oscillator is a custom indicator designed to measure and visualize the Implied Volatility (IV) Rank using Historical Volatility (HV) as a proxy. This indicator helps traders determine whether the current volatility level is relatively high or low compared to its historical levels over a specified period.
Key Features :
Historical Volatility (HV) Calculation: Computes the historical volatility based on the standard deviation of logarithmic returns over a user-defined period.
IV Rank Calculation: Normalizes the current HV within the range of the highest and lowest HV values over the past 252 periods (approximately one year) to generate the IV Rank.
IV Rank Visualization: Plots the IV Rank, along with reference lines at 50 (midline), 80 (overbought), and 20 (oversold), making it easy to interpret the relative volatility levels.
Historical Volatility Plot: Optionally plots the Historical Volatility for additional reference.
Usage:
IV Rank : Use the IV Rank to assess the relative level of volatility. High IV Rank values (close to 100) indicate that the current volatility is high relative to its historical range, while low IV Rank values (close to 0) indicate low relative volatility.
Reference Lines: The overbought (80) and oversold (20) lines help identify extreme volatility conditions, aiding in trading decisions.
Example Use Case:
A trader can use the IV Rank Oscillator to identify potential entry and exit points based on the volatility conditions. For instance, a high IV Rank may suggest a period of high market uncertainty, which could be a signal for options traders to consider strategies like selling premium. Conversely, a low IV Rank might indicate a more stable market condition.
Parameters:
HV Calculation Length: Adjustable period length for the historical volatility calculation (default: 20 periods).
This indicator is a powerful tool for options traders, volatility analysts, and any market participant looking to gauge market conditions based on historical volatility patterns.
VIX-VXV-Ratio-Buschi
English:
This script shows the ratio between the VIX (implied volatility of SPX options over the next month) and the VXV (implied volatility of SPX options over the next three months). Since in normal "Contango" mode, the VXV should be higher than the VIX, the crossing under 1.0 or maybe 0.95 after a volatility spike could be a sign for a calming market or at least a calming volatility.
Deutsch:
Dieses Skript zeigt das Verhältnis zwischen dem VIX (implizite Volatilität der SPX-Optionen über den nächsten Monat) und dem VXV (implizite Volatilität der SPX-Optionen über die nächsten drei Monate). Da im normalen "Contango"-Modus der VXV höher als der VIX liegen sollte, kann das Abfallen unter 1,0 oder 0,95 nach einer Volatilitätsspitze ein Anzeichen für einen ruhiger werdenden Markt oder zumindest eine ruhiger werdende Volatilität sein.
OHLC Volatility Estimators by @Xel_arjonaDISCLAIMER:
The Following indicator/code IS NOT intended to be a formal investment advice or recommendation by the author, nor should be construed as such. Users will be fully responsible by their use regarding their own trading vehicles/assets.
The embedded code and ideas within this work are FREELY AND PUBLICLY available on the Web for NON LUCRATIVE ACTIVITIES and must remain as is by Creative-Commons as TradingView's regulations. Any use, copy or re-use of this code should mention it's origin as it's authorship.
WARNING NOTICE!
THE INCLUDED FUNCTION MUST BE CONSIDERED AS DEBUGING CODE The models included in the function have been taken from openly sources on the web so they could have some errors as in the calculation scheme and/or in it's programatic scheme. Debugging are welcome.
WHAT'S THIS?
Here's a full collection of candle based (compressed tick) Volatility Estimators given as a function, openly available for free, it can print IMPLIED VOLATILITY by an external symbol ticker like INDEX:VIX.
Models included in the volatility calculation function:
CLOSE TO CLOSE: This is the classic estimator by rule, sometimes referred as HISTORICAL VOLATILITY and is the must common, accepted and widely used out there. Is based on traditional Standard Deviation method derived from the logarithm return of current close from yesterday's.
ELASTIC WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE: This estimator has been used by RiskMetriks®. It's calculation is based on an ElasticWeightedMovingAverage Standard Deviation method derived from the logarithm return of current close from yesterday's. It can be viewed or named as an EXPONENTIAL HISTORICAL VOLATILITY model.
PARKINSON'S: The Parkinson number, or High Low Range Volatility, developed by the physicist, Michael Parkinson, in 1980 aims to estimate the Volatility of returns for a random walk using the high and low in any particular period. IVolatility.com calculates daily Parkinson values. Prices are observed on a fixed time interval. n=10, 20, 30, 60, 90, 120, 150, 180 days.
ROGERS-SATCHELL: The Rogers-Satchell function is a volatility estimator that outperforms other estimators when the underlying follows a Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) with a drift (historical data mean returns different from zero). As a result, it provides a better volatility estimation when the underlying is trending. However, this Rogers-Satchell estimator does not account for jumps in price (Gaps). It assumes no opening jump. The function uses the open, close, high, and low price series in its calculation and it has only one parameter, which is the period to use to estimate the volatility.
YANG-ZHANG: Yang and Zhang were the first to derive an historical volatility estimator that has a minimum estimation error, is independent of the drift, and independent of opening gaps. This estimator is maximally 14 times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator.
LOGARITHMIC GARMAN-KLASS: The former is a pinescript transcript of the model defined as in iVolatility . The metric used is a combination of the overnight, high/low and open/close range. Such a volatility metric is a more efficient measure of the degree of volatility during a given day. This metric is always positive.
Option Range Projector PRO (with Alerts)Indicator Name: Option Range Projector PRO (with Alerts)
Short Description
This is a powerful and flexible tool for traders that visualizes expected price movement ranges based on option pricing principles and statistical deviations. The indicator plots standard deviation levels (Sigmas) and boundaries calculated from the price of an options Straddle, providing a unique insight into market volatility expectations.
It is ideal for options traders, as well as those who trade futures or spot assets and want to gain an edge by understanding where the market anticipates price boundaries on a specific date.
Core Concepts
The indicator is based on three key ideas:
Standard Deviation (Sigma, σ): In statistics, this is a measure of value dispersion. In trading, when applied to prices, standard deviation levels show the probable range within which the price is expected to remain until a specific date (expiration).
±1σ (1 Sigma): Approximately 68.2% probability that the price will stay within this range.
±2σ (2 Sigmas): Approximately 95.4% probability. These levels often act as strong support/resistance.
±3σ (3 Sigmas): Approximately 99.7% probability. Reaching these levels is a statistically rare event.
Implied Volatility (IV): This is a key component. IV is the market's forecast of the asset's future volatility. It is derived from current option prices and reflects how significant the price movements are expected to be by traders. The higher the IV, the wider the calculated ranges will be.
Straddle-Based Levels: A straddle is an options strategy involving the simultaneous purchase of a Call and a Put option with the same strike price and expiration date. The cost of this combination (Call + Put) directly reflects the market's expected price movement in points. Our indicator uses this value to construct alternative, highly accurate boundaries of the expected range.
Key Features
Flexible Expiration Choice: Easily switch between standard contracts (Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly) or set any custom number of days to expiration (DTE).
Dual Volatility Calculation Mode: Use automatic calculation based on historical data or enter a precise IV value manually (e.g., from your broker's terminal) for maximum accuracy.
Two Types of Predictive Levels: Visualize classic standard deviations (Sigmas) and/or levels calculated from the Straddle price for a comprehensive analysis.
Expiration Comparison: Enable the display of additional levels for a different expiration date to visually compare short-term and long-term market expectations.
"Greeks" Calculation: The indicator calculates and displays key option Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega), helping to deepen the understanding of an option position's characteristics.
Informative Table: All key data—ATM price, IV, DTE, level prices, Greeks, and option prices—are consolidated into one clear table for quick analysis.
Customizable Alerts: Get instant notifications directly in TradingView when the price crosses any of the important levels (±1σ, ±2σ, ±3σ).
Full Visual Customization: Control colors, line thickness, labels, and zone fills to adapt the indicator to your trading style.
How to Use (Settings)
Price Settings:
Auto-detect ATM Price: When enabled, the indicator will use the current closing price as the At-The-Money (ATM) price.
Manual ATM Price: If auto mode is disabled, you can set a precise ATM price manually.
Volatility Settings:
Auto-calculate IV: Calculates historical volatility over a specified period. Useful if you don't have access to real-time IV.
Manual IV Value: (Recommended for accuracy). Enter the Implied Volatility (IV) value for the desired strike from your brokerage terminal or analytical services here.
Expiration:
Contract Type: Choose one of the standard terms (Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly) or "Custom" to use a manual day input.
Days to Expiration: Active only for the "Custom" type.
Show Multiple Expirations: Enables a second set of levels with a different term for comparison.
Straddle Boundaries:
Use Manual Input: Allows you to enter the precise Call and Put Settle prices from the official exchange summary (e.g., from the CME website). This provides the most accurate boundaries based on real market prices.
Trading Ideas and Application
Mean Reversion Trading: The ±2σ and ±3σ levels often act as strong overbought/oversold zones. A price reaching these extreme values has a high statistical probability of reversing or correcting back towards the central ATM price.
Trend Confirmation and Breakouts: A confident close outside the ±1σ range can indicate the beginning of a strong directional move.
Risk Management: Use the levels to set stop-losses or determine profit targets. For example, when opening a trade near the +1σ level, you might consider a target at +2σ and place a stop-loss behind the ATM level.
Volatility Analysis: By comparing the width of the ranges for different expirations, you can assess how the market is pricing short-term versus long-term risks. A narrow range suggests low expectations, while a wide range indicates high ones.
Disclaimer: This indicator is an analysis tool and does not provide direct financial advice or trading signals. All trading decisions are your own. Use this indicator in conjunction with other analysis methods.
4C Options Expected Move (Weekly + 0DTE)This indicator plots the calculated Expected Move for BOTH Weekly and Zero Dated Expiration (0DTE) Daily options, for a quick visual reference.
Please Note: This indicator is different from our original "4C Expected Move (Weekly Options)" indicator, as it now packages the ability to ALSO plot 0DTE options expected moves along with Weekly expected moves. Many other newer features have also been implemented.
Background Information
The Expected Move (EM) is the amount that a stock is predicted to increase or decrease from its current price, based on the current level of options pricing and implied volatility.
This range can be viewed as possible support and resistance, or, once price gets outside of the range, institutional hedging actions can accelerate the move in that direction.
It can be useful to know what the weekly EM range is for a stock to understand the probabilities of the overall distance, direction and volatility for the week.
About the Indicator
This indicator plots the calculated Expected Move for BOTH Weekly and Zero Dated Expiration (0DTE) options, for a quick visual reference.
For the weekly EM, the range is based on the Weekly close of the prior week.
For the Daily EM based on 0DTE options, the range is based on the Daily close of the prior day.
The indicator will automatically start a new weekly EM plot at the beginning of the week, and a new daily EM at the beginning of each day.
The EM values must be updated weekly and/or daily.
Features
Plots the EM for the week
Plots the EM for the day, for symbols that offer daily expiration options
Plots the 2 Standard Deviation EM for both the weekly and daily EM
Labels with calculated values are plotted near the levels for quick visual aid
Settings
Can toggle weekly EM on/off
Can toggle Daily EM on/off
Can toggle 2 Standard Deviation lines on/off
Can toggle labels for all EM on/off
Robust line settings
Can adjust label location left/right based on personal preference
Can enter symbol into settings as a reference
Handy instructions in the settings
How To Set Up The Indicator
To use this indicator you must have access to a broker with options data (not available on Tradingview).
Usually, you can look at the stock's option chain to find the weekly expected move.
You will have to do your own research to find where this information is displayed depending on your broker. You may also need to find the information elsewhere if your broker does not have this information.
You can also do your calculation of the EM using the following formula (please do your own research):
Expected Move = Option Price x Implied Volatility x Square Root of Time
See screenshot example below
This is the Thinkorswim platform's option chain, and the Implied Volatility % and the calculated EM are on the right side of the option chain.
The Expected Move is circled in blue. Use the +- number in parentheses, NOT the % value.
For the weekly EM, input the number that corresponds to the weekly option into the indicator. This must be done on a weekly basis, and It is typically best to use the EM for the next week expiration that is generated AFTER the Friday close and/or before the Monday open of the upcoming week.
For the daily EM, input the number that corresponds to the daily 0DTE option into the indicator. This must be done on a daily basis, and it is typically best to use the EM value for the 0DTE option that is generated the night before (after market close), or before the market opens for that 0DTE. .
Trading Made Easy Pressure OscillatorAs always, this is not financial advice and use at your own risk. Trading is risky and can cost you significant sums of money if you are not careful. Make sure you always have a proper entry and exit plan that includes defining your risk before you enter a trade.
Those who have looked at my other indicators know that I am a big fan of Dr. Alexander Elder and John Carter. This is relevant to my trading style and to this indicator in general. While I understand it goes against TradingView rules generally to display other indicators while describing a new one, I need the Bollinger Bands, Bollinger Bands Width, and a secondary directional indicator to explain the full power of this indicator. In short, if this is strongly against the rules, I will edit the post as needed.
Those of you who are aware of John Carter are going to know this already, but for those who don’t, an explanation is necessary. John Carter is a relatively famous retail-turned-institutional (sort of) trader. He is the founder of TradetheMarkets, that later turned into SimplerTrading. Him and his company have a series of YouTube videos, he has made appearances on the MoneyShow, TastyTrade, and has authored a couple of books about trading. However, he is probably most famous for his “Squeeze” indicator that was originally launched on Thinkorswim and through his website but has now been incorporated into several trading platforms and even has a few open-source versions available here. In short, the Squeeze indicator looks to identify periods of consolidation and marry that with a momentum oscillator so you can position yourself in a quiet period before a large move. This in my opinion, is one of the best indicators an option trader can have, since options are priced both on time and volatility. To do this, the Squeeze identifies when the Bollinger Bands, a measure of price standard deviation, have contracted inside the Keltner Channels (a measure of the average range of a stock). This highlights something known as “the Squeeze”, when the 2x standard deviations (95% of all likely price movement using data from the past 20 periods) is less than the 1.5x average true range (ATR) of the stock over the same number of periods. These periods are when a stock is resting and in a period of consolidation and is generally followed by another large move once it has rested long enough. The momentum oscillator is used to determine the direction of this next move.
While I think this is one of the best indicators ever made, it is not without its pitfalls. I find that the “Squeeze” periods sometimes take too long to setup (something that was addressed by John and released in a new indicator, the Squeeze Pro, but even that is still slowish) and that the momentum oscillator was also a bit slow. They used a linear regression formula to track momentum, which can lag considerably at times. Collectively, this meant that getting into moves a few candles late was not uncommon or someone solely trading squeeze setups could have missed very good trade opportunities.
To improve on this, I present, the Trading Made Easy Pressure Oscillator. This more accurately identifies when volatility is reducing and the trading range is likely to contract, increasing the “pressure” on the price. This is often marked several candles before a “Squeeze” has started. To identify these ranges, I applied a 21-period exponential moving average to the Bollinger Bands Width indicator (BBW). As mentioned above, the Bollinger Bands measure the 2x standard deviation of price, typically based on a 20-period SMA. When the BBs expand, it marks periods of high volatility, when they contract, conversely, periods of low volatility. Therefore, applying an EMA to the BBW indicator allows us to confidently mark when volatility has slowed down earlier than traditional methods. The second improvement I made was using the Absolute Price oscillator instead of a linear regression-style oscillator. The APO is very similar to a MACD, it measures the difference between two exponential moving averages, here the 8 and 21 (Fibonacci EMAs). However, I find the APO to be smoother than the MACD, yet more reactive than the linear regression-style oscillators to get you into moves earlier.
Uses:
1) Buying before a bigger than expected move. This is especially relevant for options traders since theta decay will often eat away much of our profits while we wait for a large enough price move to offset the time decay. Here, we buy a call option/shares when the momentum oscillator matches the longer-term trend (i.e. the APO crosses over the zero line when price is above the 200-day EMA, and vice versa for puts/shorting the stock). This coincides with Dr. Elder’s Triple Screen Trading System, that we are aligning ourselves with the path of least resistance. We want to do this when price is currently in an increasing pressure situation (i.e. volatility is contracting) to make sure we are buying an option when premium and Implied Volatility is low so we can get a better price and have a better risk to reward ratio. Low volatility is denoted by a purple dot, high volatility a blue dot along the midline of the indicator. A scalper or short-term swing trader may look to exit when the blue dots turn purple signalling a likely end to a move. A longer-term trend trader can look to other exit scenarios, such as a cross of the oscillator below the zero line, signalling to go short, or using a moving average as a trailing stop.
2) Sell premium after a larger than expected move has finished. After a larger than expected move has completed (a series of blue dots is followed by a purple dot), use this time to sell theta-driven options strategies such as straddles, strangles, iron condors, calendar spreads, or iron butterflies, anything that benefits from contracting volatility and stagnating prices. This is useful here since reducing volatility typically means a contraction of prices and the reduced likelihood of a move outside of the normal range.
3) Divergences. This indicator is sensitive enough to highlight divergences. I personally don’t use it as such as I prefer to trend trade vs. reversion trade. Use at your own risk, but they are there.
In summary, this indicator improves upon the famous Squeeze indicator by increasing the speed at which periods of consolidation are marked and trend identification. I hope you enjoy it.
vol_premiaThis script shows the volatility risk premium for several instruments. The premium is simply "IV30 - RV20". Although Tradingview doesn't provide options prices, CBOE publishes 30-day implied volatilities for many instruments (most of which are VIX variations). CBOE calculates these in a standard way, weighting at- and out-of-the-money IVs for options that expire in 30 days, on average. For realized volatility, I used the standard deviation of log returns. Since there are twenty trading periods in 30 calendar days, IV30 can be compared to RV20. The "premium" is the difference, which reflects market participants' expectation for how much upcoming volatility will over- or under-shoot recent volatility.
The script loads pretty slow since there are lots of symbols, so feel free to delete the ones you don't care about. Hopefully the code is straightforward enough. I won't list the meaning of every symbols here, since I might change them later, but you can type them into tradingview for data, and read about their volatility index on CBOE's website. Some of the more well-known ones are:
ES: S&P futures, which I prefer to the SPX index). Its implied volatility is VIX.
USO: the oil ETF representing WTI future prices. Its IV is OVX.
GDX: the gold miner's ETF, which is usually more volatile than gold. Its IV is VXGDX.
FXI: a china ETF, whose volatility is VXFXI.
And so on. In addition to the premium, the "percentile" column shows where this premium ranks among the previous 252 trading days. 100 = the highest premium, 0 = the lowest premium.
ATR 3x Multiplier StrategyBeta version
Volatility and Candle Spikes in Trading
Volatility
Volatility refers to the degree of variation in the price of a financial asset over time. It measures how much the price fluctuates and is often associated with risk and uncertainty in the market. High volatility means larger price swings, while low volatility indicates more stable price movements.
Key aspects of volatility:
Measured using indicators like Average True Range (ATR), Bollinger Bands, and Implied Volatility (IV).
Influenced by factors such as market news, economic events, and liquidity.
Higher volatility increases both risk and potential profit opportunities.
Candle Spikes
A candle spike (or wick) refers to a sudden price movement that forms a long shadow or wick on a candlestick chart. These spikes can indicate strong buying or selling pressure, liquidity hunts, or stop-loss triggers.
Types of candle spikes:
Bullish Spike (Long Lower Wick): Indicates buyers rejected lower prices, pushing the price higher.
Bearish Spike (Long Upper Wick): Suggests sellers rejected higher prices, pushing the price lower.
Stop-Loss Hunt: Market makers may trigger stop-losses by creating artificial spikes before reversing the price.
News-Induced Spikes: Economic data releases or unexpected events can cause sudden price jumps.
Understanding volatility and candle spikes can help traders manage risk, spot entry/exit points, and avoid false breakouts. 🚀📈
Tempo V | QuantEdgeB📊 Tempo V | QuantEdgeB
🔍 What is Tempo V?
Tempo V by QuantEdgeB is a volatility resonance framework that fuses multiple volatility models into a single adaptive signal. It acts like a seismograph for market energy, detecting shifts in pressure, flow, and agitation before they erupt into full-blown volatility waves.
Rather than just measure price range, Tempo V decodes the texture of volatility — layering Z-Score logic over 7 elite volatility and energy signals to create a unified tempo pulse.
💡 Think of Tempo V as your market EQ meter, identifying when price is humming calmly or vibrating toward breakout chaos.
⚙️ Core Components
✅ Multi-Model Volatility Stack
Tempo V blends the most statistically robust volatility estimators:
• IMI – Measures price "thrust" or intraday initiation.
• RVI – Detects directional volatility flow.
• ATR – True range of price breathing.
• Rogers-Satchell – Captures variance with directional drift.
• Parkinson – Focuses on high–low spread efficiency.
• Yang-Zhang – A hybrid volatility estimator ideal for crypto assets.
• Garman-Klass – Captures OHLC variance with tight math.
Each signal is z-scored, scaled, and dynamically smoothed into a composite value — the aggZ.
✅ Z-Blend Aggregation
• aggZ = The heartbeat of Tempo V — a weighted blend of all enabled signals.
• It’s like a volatility weather report: positive means upside risk building, negative means downside storm clouds.
✅ Adaptive EMA Trendline
• Tempo V includes a dynamically responsive trendline that changes pace depending on market tempo.
• This tracks the momentum of volatility, not price — a major edge in fast-moving environments.
🎯 Signal & Stage Interpretation
🧭 Z-Score Based Stage Labels
At every candle, Tempo V identifies the current volatility stage:
1.Value ≥ +1.25 ==> 🔺 High Upside Volatility
2.Value +0.5 to +1.25 ==> ⚡ Volatile-Up Phase
3.Value -0.5 to +0.5 ==> ⏸️ Stable Range / Balance
4.Value -1.25 to -0.5 ==> ⚠️ Volatile-Down Phase
5.Value ≤ -1.25 ==> 🔻 High Downside Volatility
These insights allow you to act preemptively on upcoming breakouts, fades, or quiet zones.
🖼️ Visual Overlay Engine
• Column Chart – aggZ plotted as a histogram, easily trackable.
• Trend Line – Responsive smoothing that visualizes volatility shift.
• Background Color Zones – Highlighting extreme tempo levels.
• Bar Coloring (Optional) – Syncs chart bars with volatility phase.
🧠 Why Use Tempo V?
Tempo V is designed for traders who want to:
• Detect volatility pressure before price erupts
• Combine multiple models into one actionable score
• Visualize tempo stages without overwhelming charts
• Spot shifts in energy, flow, and agitation — not just direction
💼 Ideal Use Cases
• Breakout Traders: Anticipate volatility surges
• Mean-Reversion Setups: Fade extremes after tempo climax
• Options Traders: Identify implied volatility zones visually
• Trend Traders: Use rising aggZ as confirmation of commitment
🧬 Default Settings
• Z-Score Length: 45
• Smooth Length: 5
• Active Models: All 7 enabled by default
• Upper/Lower Bounds: ±1.25
🧬 In Summary
Tempo V | QuantEdgeB is not just a volatility measure — it’s a volatility intelligence framework, distilling 7 elite metrics into one real-time pulse of market agitation.
It’s smart, fast, and narrates market rhythm so you can trade with anticipation instead of reaction.
📌 Navigate the Pulse of Volatility | Powered by QuantEdgeB
🔹 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results.
🔹 Strategic Advice: Always tune the z-lengths and smoothing to fit your asset and timeframe volatility. Backtest thoroughly.
